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State of the Economy

Commentary and analysis on the U.S. economy.

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Analysis
March Jobs Day Preview

An especially difficult to measure economy makes job growth number revisions more common, but it is better to wait for more data to be released before drawing drastic conclusions.
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Analysis
An AI Productivity Boom? Don’t Count Your (Productivity Data) Chickens

To get a read on AI and productivity, don’t look to the productivity data.
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Analysis
February Jobs Day Preview

The current labor market may be fine… but workers are worried about the future
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Analysis
January Jobs Day Preview
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Analysis
What's Happening with the Labor Market? We're About to (Maybe) Find Out

This week we will finally get the employment situation release for November from BLS. What will it say? Of course we have no idea. But there are a few points to keep in mind as we head into the release.
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Analysis
October Jobs Day Preview: Watching Signs of Weakness