Our Work

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Artificial Intelligence
Analysis
What We Do and Don't Know About How AI is Affecting the Labor Market
Martha Gimbel, Joshua Kendall, Ryan Nunn
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State of the Economy
Analysis
AI Is Probably Not (Yet) the Reason for Labor Market Weakening
Ryan Nunn
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State of the Economy
Interactives
The Budget Lab Small Macro Model (BLSMM)
Default Publication
Methodology and Documentation
Methodology
The Budget Lab Small Macro Model (BLSMM): Model Documentation
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State of the Economy
Analysis
How the Budget Lab Small Macro Model Helps Explore Possible Fiscal Futures
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Artificial Intelligence
Analysis
Updated:
What Might AI Adoption Mean for the Fiscal and Economic Outlook?
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Taxes
Scores
Refining Revenue Estimates for Taxing Carried Interest
Default Publication
Methodology and Documentation
Methodology
The Budget Lab’s Early Childhood Education and Care Model
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Children and Families
Reports
Evaluating the Impacts of Federal Subsidies for Early Childhood Education and Care
Harris Eppsteiner, Maddie Lee, John Ricco
Default Publication
Methodology and Documentation
Methodology
Quantifying the Effects of Policies on Well-Being: The Budget Lab’s “Economic Value” Measure
Harris Eppsteiner
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Artificial Intelligence
Scores
Updated:
Tracking the Impact of AI on the Labor Market
Default Publication
Taxes
Scores
Budgetary Effects of Increased IRS Funding
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Taxes
Scores
Updated:
A Weakened IRS Has Substantial Consequences
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Trade
Scores
State of U.S. Tariffs: April 8, 2026
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Trade
Reports
One Year of Tariff Analysis: What We Got Right, What Changed, and What We Learned