Three container ships at a container port.
All Topics

Trade

The economic and fiscal effects of trade and tariff policy.

Default Publication
Scores
The Fiscal, Economic, and Distributional Effects of 25% Auto Tariffs
Default Publication
Scores
Real Change in Output by Commodity/Region of Tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico
Three container ships at a container port.
Scores
The Fiscal, Economic, and Distributional Effects of 20% Tariffs on China and 25% Tariffs on Canada and Mexico
Three container ships at a container port.
Scores
The Fiscal, Economic, and Distributional Effects of Automobile, Semiconductor, and Pharmaceutical Tariffs
Three container ships at a container port.
Scores
The Fiscal, Economic, and Distributional Effects of Illustrative “Reciprocal” U.S. Tariffs
Default Publication
Scores
Economic and Fiscal Effects of the February 2025 Proposed Tariffs on China
Default Publication
Analysis
Tariffs, the Dollar, and the Fed
Default Publication
Scores
The Economic and Fiscal Effects of the Trump Administration's Proposed Tariffs
Three container ships at a container port.
Reports
Fiscal, Macroeconomic, and Price Estimates of Tariffs Under Both Non-Retaliation and Retaliation Scenarios

Our analysis quantifies the fiscal and macroeconomic effects of tariff proposals made by former President Trump in light of existing economic evidence, showing that such tariffs would raise revenue at significant cost to the U.S. economy.